Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

Ends in 6 months 2 weeks · 31/12/2026 00:00
December 31 88,9%
June 30 11,1%
March 31 0%
March 13 0%
April 30 0%
R$17.4M Vol. 31 Dec 2026
December 31
December 31
R$2.9M Vol.
89%
▼ 1%
June 30
June 30
R$2.9M Vol.
11%
▲ 1%
March 31
March 31
R$3.2M Vol.
0%
March 13
March 13
R$0 Vol.
0%
April 30
April 30
R$5.0M Vol.
0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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